Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 4.905387 5.438647 6.008695 6.663970 7.397123 8.192940 9.123287
2026-01-18 4.042103 4.776412 5.616680 6.651797 7.896059 9.347788 11.176131
2026-01-25 3.406509 4.242196 5.253862 6.574317 8.260551 10.352684 13.162010
2026-02-01 2.931026 3.815139 4.937668 6.476962 8.547672 11.257545 15.106496
2026-02-08 2.563458 3.466269 4.660732 6.370597 8.778137 12.080685 17.011840
2026-02-15 2.294048 3.208446 4.463332 6.330075 9.068647 12.988885 19.115415
2026-02-22 2.130027 3.072950 4.411400 6.474718 9.619823 14.305727 21.951214
2026-03-01 1.944254 2.883392 4.257171 6.443688 9.893511 15.222940 24.266527
2026-03-08 1.746908 2.655226 4.020119 6.255698 9.894365 15.703084 25.919168
2026-03-15 1.608120 2.501952 3.879827 6.199314 10.088812 16.497349 28.165838
2026-03-22 1.530337 2.436027 3.867678 6.343708 10.620255 17.891770 31.598915
2026-03-29 1.462677 2.379361 3.863363 6.496953 11.176218 19.376981 35.363166
2026-04-05 1.374583 2.283490 3.789337 6.529631 11.535104 20.572171 38.781585
2026-04-12 1.277757 2.164785 3.666638 6.465066 11.712246 21.456785 41.721888
2026-04-19 1.185098 2.045455 3.532402 6.366021 11.813431 22.206771 44.487995
2026-04-26 1.100842 1.933928 3.402235 6.261135 11.890378 22.913803 47.251184
2026-05-03 1.024409 1.830250 3.277371 6.153661 11.949067 23.586406 50.022036
2026-05-10 0.964152 1.751383 3.191384 6.112363 12.133675 24.530347 53.504258
2026-05-17 0.932211 1.722718 3.196658 6.250561 12.697878 26.323937 59.141360
2026-05-24 0.882006 1.655296 3.122183 6.220195 12.903443 27.368329 63.173151
2026-05-31 0.818513 1.557430 2.980842 6.039010 12.765548 27.639716 65.381110
2026-06-07 0.774341 1.494337 2.903390 5.984630 12.899091 28.532303 69.234963
2026-06-14 0.753699 1.476716 2.915924 6.123578 13.479366 30.516047 76.135137